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Cernio — Go-To-Market Strategy

Version: 2.0 Date: 2026-04-03 Author: Aleks Özkuyumcu (Founder) + Claude Opus 4.6 Basis: Handbook Ch. 85-100, BIZ-5 (Market Sizing), founder GTM resources (zero-budget bootstrap) Constraint: $0 marketing budget until revenue. Channels must be organic/free.

1. GTM Philosophy

Start narrow, go deep, then expand. The platform works globally — the GTM doesn’t.
Phase 1 → Turkish B2B exporters (founder network, DOSE contacts)
Phase 2 → EU exporters (English PLG, LinkedIn, trade fairs)
Phase 3 → US + global (SEO flywheel, referrals, partnerships)

2. Pre-Launch Assets (Unique Advantage)

DOSE Contact Pool

AssetSizeQuality
Digitized business cards (DOSE Chemicals + DOSE Textile)~3,000 contactsMixed — many irrelevant (suppliers, domestic, non-B2B)
Estimated relevant (B2B exporters/importers)~1,200-1,500Warm — met at trade fairs, some are acquaintances
Reachable via email~960-1,200Valid email addresses
This is a rare bootstrap advantage — most solo SaaS founders start with 0 contacts. Cernio starts with 1,200+ warm leads from a decade of trade fair networking.

Founder Network

ResourceCapacity
Personal acquaintances (can pitch 1-on-1)30-50 people
LinkedIn Pro membershipOrganic outreach, 100-150 DMs/month
Industry knowledge (chemicals/textiles)Credible demo/pitch at trade fairs

Free Tier as GTM Weapon

The new Free tier design (C model: discovery open, contact gated) is specifically designed for GTM:
Email warm lead → "Try Cernio free — find distributors for your product"
  → User signs up, runs 5 discoveries
  → Sees 125 ranked companies with types and scores
  → Wants to find the purchasing manager → MUST upgrade to Pro ($49)
The Free tier is a sales tool, not a product tier.

3. Channel Strategy (Zero-Budget)

Channel 1: Warm Email Campaign (Months 1-6)

Target: DOSE fair card pool (1,200-1,500 relevant contacts)
StepActionToolTimeline
1Segment cards: exporter vs supplier vs irrelevantManual + AI classifyMonth 1-2
2Create email sequences (3-email drip)Brevo/Resend free tierMonth 2
3Batch 1: Close acquaintances (50 people) — personal emailGmailMonth 2-3
4Batch 2: Known contacts (200-300) — semi-personalBrevoMonth 3-4
5Batch 3: Fair contacts (500-800) — cold-ishBrevoMonth 4-6
Email template (acquaintances):
“Hi [name], I’ve been building something I think you’ll find useful. It’s an AI tool that finds distributors and buyers for your products in any country — in about 30 seconds. I’d love to show you. Can I send you a free login?”
Email template (fair contacts):
“Hi [name], we met at [fair] (DOSE Chemicals). I’ve since built an AI platform that helps exporters find buyers worldwide. It’s free to try — enter your product and a target country, and you’ll see ranked potential buyers in seconds. [Link]”
Expected: 15-20% signup rate → 180-300 signups → 5-10% paid → 9-30 paying customers over 6 months.

Channel 2: LinkedIn Organic (Ongoing)

Strategy: Content + targeted outreach from founder’s personal profile.
ActivityFrequencyExpected Results
Content posts (discovery stories, export insights, behind-the-scenes)3-4x/weekBuild audience, 500-2K followers in Y1
Targeted DMs to export managers10-15/day (LinkedIn Pro limit)5-8% conversion to signup
Comment engagement on export/trade groupsDailyVisibility, inbound interest
Connection requests to ICP (export managers, founders)20-30/dayNetwork growth
Content pillars:
  1. “Found 12 distributors in Poland in 15 minutes” — discovery stories
  2. “3 things about the German chemicals market” — export intelligence
  3. “Building an AI tool for exporters — week 5 update” — founder journey
  4. “Top 5 countries importing Turkish [product] (2026 data)” — data insights
Expected: 2-5 signups/month → 1-3 paying customers/month after warmup period.

Channel 3: PLG Self-Serve (Growing Over Time)

Design: Website → signup (no credit card) → first discovery (free) → WOW moment → upgrade prompt when trying to reveal contacts.
MonthMonthly Organic VisitorsSignupsActivationsPaid
1-3 (beta)100-20010-205-100-1
4-6200-50020-5010-251-2
7-12500-1,50050-15025-752-5
Y2 avg2,000-5,000200-500100-2505-15
Y3 avg5,000-15,000500-1,500250-75015-45

Channel 4: Personal Pitches (Month 1-3)

Founder personally demos to 30-50 acquaintances.
ActionVolumeConversion
1-on-1 video/in-person demo30-50 people40-60% try, 15-25% pay
Expected paid customers4-12
This is the highest conversion channel — but limited and non-scalable. Use it for first 10 customers and case studies.

4. Activation Strategy

North Star Metric

“First discovery search completed and at least one result viewed” This must happen in the first session (ideally within 3 minutes of signup).

Activation Funnel

Signup → Industry/product selection → Target country → "Find Buyers" → Results → 
  → Free user: Views companies, types, scores → Hits contact paywall → Upgrade prompt
  → Pro user: Views companies → Reveals contacts → Saves lead → Sets follow-up

Activation Design Principles

  1. Remove every friction point before first search. No onboarding wizard, no tutorial videos. Product/country → search.
  2. Pre-fill intelligently. Suggest industry based on company name. Show top export markets for that industry.
  3. Show real, impressive results. Never placeholder data. The first search must return genuinely useful companies.
  4. Contact paywall is the conversion trigger. “These 25 companies look amazing — who do I contact?” → Upgrade.

KPIs

MetricTarget (Y1)Target (Y2+)
Signup → first search> 50%> 70%
First search → second search> 30%> 50%
Free → paid conversion (90 days)> 5%> 8%
Time to first search< 3 minutes< 2 minutes
Activation rate (search + view results)> 40%> 60%

5. Retention Strategy

Core Retention Loop

Discovery → Save leads → Set follow-up → Return to check status → 
  → New market needed → New discovery → Lead list grows → More follow-ups

Anti-Churn Triggers (Automated)

TriggerActionTimeline
No login for 7 daysEmail: “3 new companies matching your profile”Week 1+
Leads saved but no contact revealedEmail: “Ready to reach out? Reveal contacts now”Day 3+
Discovery done but no leads savedEmail: “Your top 5 matches are waiting”Day 1+
Trial expiring (if time-limited promo)Email: “Your discovery results expire in 3 days”Day 11+

Retention KPIs

MetricTarget
Week 1 retention> 60%
Month 1 retention> 40%
Month 3 retention> 30%
Monthly active rate (paid users)> 70%

6. Metrics & KPIs Dashboard

North Star Metric

Weekly Active Discoveries — number of discovery searches run by paid users per week. This metric captures:
  • Product engagement (users are actively using the core feature)
  • Revenue health (more discoveries = more value = less churn)
  • Data moat growth (every search enriches the buyer graph)

Metric Hierarchy

LevelMetricTarget
North StarWeekly Active Discoveries (paid users)Growing 5-10%/week
RevenueMRRSee BIZ-3 projections
AcquisitionNew signups/weekGrowing
Activation% signups who run first search in session 1> 50%
Revenue ConversionFree → paid (90-day window)> 5%
RetentionMonth 1 paid user retention> 85%
Referral% users who refer (future)> 10%
Expansion% users who upgrade plan or buy credits> 15% of paid base

Tracking Tools (Zero Budget)

Metric TypeToolCost
Product analyticsPostHog (free tier, 1M events)$0
Revenue/subscriptionLemon Squeezy dashboard$0
Error trackingSentry (free tier)$0
Email analyticsBrevo/Resend dashboard$0
User behaviorBuilt-in activity logging (export_ai_ai_job_runs)$0

7. GTM Timeline

MonthPhaseKey ActionsExpected Outcome
Apr-Jul 2026Pre-launchBuild Ring 1 (auth, billing). Segment DOSE card pool. Prepare email templates.Product ready for beta
Aug 2026Beta launchInvite first 10 users (personal network). Daily feedback.10 free beta users
Sep 2026Beta expandBatch 1 email (50 acquaintances). LinkedIn content starts.30-50 free users, feedback
Oct 2026First revenueEnable paid plans. Convert top beta users.2-5 paying customers
Nov-Dec 2026Warm outreachBatch 2-3 email (300-800 contacts). LinkedIn DMs ramp up.10-15 paying customers
Jan-Mar 2027PLG optimizationImprove onboarding based on data. Content flywheel building.15-25 paying, growing organic
Apr-Jun 2027Y2 accelerationSEO content, first case studies, possible first trade fair visit.40-60 paying
Jul-Dec 2027Growth modeEU expansion, Team plan launch, referral program.80-120 paying
2028 (Y3)Scale modeUS expansion, partnerships, possible first hire.200-300 paying

8. Trade Fair Strategy (Budget-Dependent)

Phase 1: Zero Budget (Y1)

No trade fair attendance. Instead:
  • Leverage DOSE’s existing fair contacts (email campaign)
  • Monitor exhibitor lists from upcoming fairs → LinkedIn outreach to exhibitors
  • Post-fair content on LinkedIn (insights from fair agendas/news)

Phase 2: Revenue-Funded (Y2+, when MRR > $3K)

FairIndustryLocationEstimated CostWhy
TurkchemChemicalsIstanbul$500-1,000 (local)Founder domain, low cost
ChemSpec EuropeSpecialty chemicalsEurope (rotating)$2,000-3,000ICP concentration
AutomechanikaAuto partsIstanbul/Frankfurt$2,000-4,000Large exporter attendance
Execution: No booth. Visitor badge + laptop + 30-second pitch. Target: 5-15 qualified leads per fair.

Document Dependencies

RelatedDocument
Customer acquisition modelBIZ-5: ROI & Market Sizing
Revenue projectionsBIZ-3: Financial Projections
Competitive positioning (for pitch)BIZ-9: Competitive Positioning
Handbook GTM chaptersdocs/handbook/06-go-to-market.md (Ch. 85-100)